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Statistical issues related to early closure of STOP-ROP, a group-sequential trial.

2003 Feb

Journal Article

Authors:
Oden, N.L.; Phelps, D.L.

Secondary:
Control Clin Trials

Volume:
24

Pagination:
28-38

Issue:
1

PMID:
12559640

DOI:
10.1016/s0197-2456(02)00276-3

Keywords:
Clinical Trials Data Monitoring Committees; Data Interpretation, Statistical; Disease Progression; Humans; Infant, Newborn; Oxygen Inhalation Therapy; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Retinopathy of Prematurity

Abstract:
The Supplemental Therapeutic Oxygen for Prethreshold Retinopathy of Prematurity trial used the group-sequential alpha-spending approach with asymmetrical tails to investigate whether supplemental oxygen therapy would reduce the proportion of infants progressing from prethreshold retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) to threshold ROP from 30% to 20%. Three years of enrollment were predicted. After 4 years, the data and safety monitoring committee (DSMC), faced with a projected delay of 2-3 more years, opted to terminate the trial after 1 further year of enrollment despite a continually borderline test statistic. We discuss factors relating to the DSMC decision and its effect upon the conclusions that may be drawn from the trial.

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